Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.168672 0.190131 0.212707 0.238174 0.266048 0.295573 0.329158
2025-04-13 0.139214 0.168020 0.199956 0.237800 0.281227 0.329305 0.386355
2025-04-20 0.120023 0.153715 0.192784 0.241034 0.298595 0.364630 0.445651
2025-04-27 0.107070 0.144578 0.189830 0.247752 0.319173 0.403580 0.510035
2025-05-04 0.094299 0.133887 0.183458 0.249037 0.332360 0.433493 0.564186
2025-05-11 0.085666 0.127301 0.181208 0.254637 0.350409 0.469351 0.626284
2025-05-18 0.078813 0.122193 0.180117 0.261142 0.369339 0.506478 0.690756
2025-05-25 0.070140 0.113590 0.173459 0.259472 0.377041 0.529075 0.737035
2025-06-01 0.063137 0.106592 0.168274 0.259129 0.386023 0.553149 0.785469
2025-06-08 0.056884 0.100031 0.163069 0.258168 0.393734 0.575383 0.831718
2025-06-15 0.053191 0.096980 0.162598 0.263672 0.410314 0.609714 0.894711
2025-06-22 0.048510 0.091888 0.158647 0.263718 0.418946 0.633210 0.943436
2025-06-29 0.043991 0.086740 0.154379 0.263227 0.427031 0.656588 0.993306
2025-07-06 0.039875 0.081845 0.150102 0.262367 0.434372 0.678975 1.042256
2025-07-13 0.037033 0.078863 0.148616 0.265616 0.447765 0.710172 1.104192
2025-07-20 0.035202 0.077499 0.149629 0.272739 0.467121 0.750343 1.179692
2025-07-27 0.032476 0.074201 0.147146 0.274049 0.477518 0.777638 1.237302
2025-08-03 0.030794 0.072706 0.147592 0.280054 0.495265 0.816061 1.311717
2025-08-10 0.029401 0.071630 0.148658 0.287053 0.514704 0.857376 1.391145
2025-08-17 0.026792 0.067841 0.144633 0.285236 0.519982 0.877482 1.439747
2025-08-24 0.024628 0.064730 0.141587 0.284860 0.527430 0.900908 1.493602
2025-08-31 0.022570 0.061615 0.138293 0.283818 0.533645 0.922461 1.544964
2025-09-07 0.021548 0.060657 0.138978 0.289756 0.551453 0.962207 1.624386